Forecast Hesitancy: Why are People Reluctant to Believe, Accept, or Respond to Various Weather, Water, and Climate Hazard-Related Forecasts?
نویسندگان
چکیده
Abstract Current discussions of the social phenomenon “vaccine hesitancy” with regard to Covid-19 provide an opportunity use hesitancy as a means shift thinking about untimely and delayed responses forecasts hydrometeorological hazards. Hesitancy, that is, provides paradigm through which such regrettably hydromet hazards might be better understood effectively addressed. Without exaggeration, just every event example how hinders individual, community, national government risk-reducing preventive mitigative foreseeable, relatively near-term climate, water, or weather Reasons for (for vaccine forecast alike) include—among others—lack trust in science, lack confidence government, persistent concern uncertainties surround forecasting—both meteorological public health. As such, understanding causes lead individual group can inform forecasters affected communities ways beneficial actions response timely are often delayed. This will facilitate, where necessary, targeted interventions enhance societal value forecasting by reducing this long-observed challenge “forecast hesitancy.” First, article focuses on incidents that, various reasons, people around world even now experiencing several now-available, confirmed efficacious, vaccines. Reports indecisiveness first increased dramatically over few months 2021, despite strong scientific vaccination would significantly lower personal risk contracting well spreading virus. After, notion is discussed. It’s not what you say, it’s hear . -Frank Luntz (2007)
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: International Journal of Disaster Risk Science
سال: 2021
ISSN: ['2095-0055', '2192-6395']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-021-00353-7